Have we found the Holy Grail of basketball stats? In Part 5 of the Thinking Basketball stats series, we dive into the entire world of plus-minus as a way to determine impact or value. Is single-game plus-minus any good? Full season vs. on/off data? How do we account for teammates? And if we make the right adjustments, do we have an ideal one-number stat for ranking NBA players?
Rob Antle summarizing RAPM:
Daniel Myers on APMs:
Joe Sill’s paper using Ridge Regression:
Justin Jacobs series on Adjusted Plus-Minus (RAPM)
How to use lineup data responsibly:
Support at Patreon:
Podcast: (available on iTunes, Spotify, etc.)
Ben Taylor is the author of Thinking Basketball, a Nylon Calculus contributor, creator of the Backpicks Top 40 series & host of the Thinking Basketball podcast.
Player art by @CrumpledJumper